Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 36.743109 41.855638 47.451605 54.036076 61.578104 69.954606 79.974094
2024-12-22 30.626254 37.566020 45.761024 56.171344 69.072746 84.573974 104.669595
2024-12-29 26.800400 35.150099 45.713443 60.105548 79.280665 104.057214 138.676577
2025-01-05 22.923697 31.990182 44.218534 62.005978 87.373003 122.480320 175.157636
2025-01-12 19.062256 28.177733 41.226263 61.405069 92.082801 137.386133 210.127563
2025-01-19 16.189528 25.260303 38.993073 61.496698 97.853272 154.975784 252.865770
2025-01-26 14.486585 23.802936 38.686114 64.475848 108.668028 182.417000 317.114527
2025-02-02 13.177072 22.741058 38.821498 68.214912 121.512662 215.785208 398.949745
2025-02-09 11.683332 21.106932 37.726105 69.665236 130.747192 244.899760 480.121732
2025-02-16 10.082325 19.003359 35.449441 68.568241 135.145078 266.172070 551.591472
2025-02-23 8.773028 17.212325 33.438199 67.600259 139.625778 288.585694 630.918893
2025-03-02 7.736755 15.770552 31.849186 67.176053 145.150013 314.322360 723.832242
2025-03-09 6.958502 14.746797 30.985151 68.255050 154.483083 351.032104 853.111373
2025-03-16 6.210907 13.658876 29.805562 68.446606 161.982397 385.582041 987.316563
2025-03-23 5.756094 13.132140 29.755155 71.229508 176.271971 439.675402 1186.803903
2025-03-30 5.209802 12.301644 28.876336 71.885684 185.574560 483.878100 1373.456682
2025-04-06 4.583084 11.171745 27.098672 69.964197 187.885258 510.704816 1519.813904
2025-04-13 4.103619 10.317198 25.838798 69.130081 192.968818 546.422047 1703.839112
2025-04-20 3.850481 9.990693 25.851772 71.735196 208.364271 615.438406 2014.088227
2025-04-27 3.660095 9.795021 26.173318 75.290660 227.474048 700.638891 2406.158806
2025-05-04 3.386792 9.327773 25.682054 76.404124 239.510224 767.345441 2757.834348
2025-05-11 3.046012 8.613803 24.379741 74.819335 242.697799 806.556558 3024.366801
2025-05-18 2.753719 7.989254 23.226434 73.470614 246.412763 848.805370 3318.269496